Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sho Shimabukuro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Tokyo Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro
Result
0:2
23/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final
Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
67%66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)78% (32/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (8/16)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
22% (9/41)33% (11/33)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
63% (30/48)69% (43/62)
Return Points Won
31% (19/62)38% (18/48)
Total Points Won
45% (49/110)55% (61/110)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53.3%
Sho Shimabukuro
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.63)

    2
    (2.09)
    6.9%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 271.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0
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