Udinese vs Palermo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Coppa Italia Udinese - Palermo
Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
Udinese - Palermo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.31
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
84% (365/434)80% (327/409)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.681.49
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
3019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (365/434)80% (327/409)
Long passes
47% (27/57)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
69% (70/102)57% (46/81)
Crosses
15% (2/13)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.79
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1412
Tackles
60% (6/10)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
3319
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
1.492.68
Goals prevented
0.490.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 37', Kabasele C. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Zaniolo N. , Zanoli A. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Miller L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gyasi E. , Ranocchia F. ,
  • 46', Pierozzi N. , Augello T. ,
  • 46', Le Douaron J. , Palumbo A. ,
  • 59', Giovane S. , Brunori M. ,
  • 65', Buksa A. , Davis K. ,
  • 65', Kabasele C. , Kristensen T. ,
  • 65', Ranocchia F. , Segre J. ,
  • 70', Miller L. , Ekkelenkamp J. ,
  • 70', Zaniolo N. , Gueye I. ,
  • 81', Karlstrom J. , Lovric S. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Peda P. , Augello T. (A),

Chances of winning


Udinese
42.8%
Draw
29.5%
Palermo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 26.6% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 25.7% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.
  • Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palermo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Udinese - Palermo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.7)
    3.24
    (3.6)
    3.48
    (5.55)
    4.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Udinese - Palermo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Palermo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
    • Udinese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Palermo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Udinese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Udinese is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Udinese
    20.09.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:3
    14.09.2025 Pisa - Udinese 0:1
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2
    25.08.2025 Udinese - Verona 1:1
    18.08.2025 Udinese - Carrarese 2:0
    Latest results of Palermo
    19.09.2025 Palermo - Bari 2:0
    30.08.2025 Palermo - Frosinone 0:0
    23.08.2025 Palermo - Reggiana 2:1
    16.08.2025 Cremonese - Palermo 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17JuventusBye
    21UdineseBye
    22ByeCarrarese
    23CremoneseBye
    24ByePalermo
    25AtalantaBye
    29EmpoliBye
    30ByeReggiana
    31GenoaBye
    32PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49FiorentinaBye
    53ComoBye
    54ByeSudtirol
    55SassuoloBye
    56ByeCatanzaro
    57NapoliBye
    61MonzaBye
    62ByeFrosinone
    63CagliariBye
    64EntellaTernana4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9JuventusBye
    11UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    12CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    13AtalantaBye
    15EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    16GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25FiorentinaBye
    27ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    28SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0
    29NapoliBye
    31MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    32CagliariEntella2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia3 : 2
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5JuventusBye
    6UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    7AtalantaBye
    8EmpoliGenoa
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia0 : 1
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa
    13FiorentinaBye
    14ComoSassuolo3 : 0
    15NapoliBye
    16FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaParma
    2LazioAC Milan
    3JuventusUdinese
    4AtalantaTBD #8
    5InterVenezia
    6AS RomaTBD #12
    7FiorentinaComo
    8NapoliCagliari

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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