Rei Sakamoto vs Adam Walton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Tokyo Rei Sakamoto - Adam Walton
Result
2:0
22/09/2025 at 01:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Rei Sakamoto - Adam Walton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
04
1st Serve Percentage
59%52%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (23/27)74% (25/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (14/19)35% (11/31)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (9/34)15% (4/27)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (20/31)26% (5/19)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
80% (37/46)55% (36/65)
Return Points Won
45% (29/65)20% (9/46)
Total Points Won
59% (66/111)41% (45/111)
Last 10 Balls
82
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
45.8%
Adam Walton
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 72.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rei Sakamoto's performance.
  • Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Walton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+18%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Walton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rei Sakamoto - Adam Walton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (3.23)

    1.94
    (1.34)
    -4.7%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Rei Sakamoto - Adam Walton?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Walton will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 189. Walton is ranked ATP: 76.
    • Sakamoto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Walton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Walton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Walton is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    19.08.2025 Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto 1:2
    31.07.2025 Rei Sakamoto - Eliot Spizzirri Sakamoto R. retired
    Latest results of Adam Walton
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0
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