Cittadella vs Lumezzane: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie C Group A Cittadella - Lumezzane
25/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cittadella - Lumezzane - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cittadella
64.6%
Draw
22.1%
Lumezzane
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 22.2% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 15.3% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cittadella - Lumezzane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.43)
    4.13
    (4.1)
    6.84
    (6.4)
    9.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Cittadella has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lumezzane has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Cittadella is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Cittadella
    21.09.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Cittadella 2:1
    06.09.2025 Pergolettese - Cittadella 3:1
    29.08.2025 Cittadella - Alcione 1:0
    24.08.2025 Virtus Verona - Cittadella 1:1
    Latest results of Lumezzane
    21.09.2025 Lumezzane - Ospitaletto 2:0
    13.09.2025 Lumezzane - Triestina 1:2
    06.09.2025 Alcione - Lumezzane 1:0
    31.08.2025 Lumezzane - Pergolettese 2:3
    24.08.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane 5:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza541011:11013
    2Lecco541010:3713
    3Brescia540113:31012
    4Pergolettese53028:719
    5Pro Vercelli53026:10-49
    6Inter U2352217:528
    7Renate52217:708
    8Alcione Milano52214:318
    9Arzignano52127:707
    10Trento51226:8-25
    11AlbinoLeffe51229:10-15
    12Virtus Verona51227:705
    13Giana Erminio51223:6-35
    14Dolomiti Bellunesi50415:8-34
    15Novara50413:4-14
    16Cittadella51134:7-34
    17Lumezzane51045:11-63
    18Pro Patria50235:10-52
    19Ospitaletto50233:7-42
    20Triestina52216:51-12

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

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