Jan Choinski vs Francesco Passaro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro
Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - Quarter-finals
Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
95
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
60%58%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (32/42)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
68% (19/28)50% (14/28)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)24% (10/42)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (14/28)32% (9/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
73% (51/70)64% (43/67)
Return Points Won
36% (24/67)27% (19/70)
Total Points Won
55% (75/137)45% (62/137)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
36.1%
Francesco Passaro
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.
  • Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.16)

    1.46
    (1.65)
    6.7%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Passaro will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 227. Passaro is ranked ATP: 145.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Passaro could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (RET.) (1)Topo M. (Q)0 : 1
    2Choinski J.Sachko V.2 : 0
    3Pavlovic L.Paroulek T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Passaro F.Lajovic D. (6)2 : 1
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Piraino G. (LL)1 : 2
    6Dodig M. (Alt)Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    8Gaubas V.Burruchaga R. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Galan D. E. (7)Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Moeller M. (LL)Barton H. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ymer E. (Alt)Kopp S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Novak D. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (5)Neumayer L.2 : 1
    14Sorger S. (WC)Kovalik J. (Q)2 : 1
    15Stebe C. (LL)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)0 : 2
    16Seyboth Wild T.Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Topo M.Choinski J.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Passaro F.0 : 2
    3Piraino G.Kolar Z.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Burruchaga R. A. (8)1 : 2
    5Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.1 : 2
    6Kopp S.Carballes Baena R. (3)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (5)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J.Passaro F.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Burruchaga R. A. (8)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (5)Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Choinski J.Kolar Z.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (3)Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Choinski J.Kopriva V. (2)
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