Talavera de la Reina vs Barakaldo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
155
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
114
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ropero I. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 46', Ropero I. , Dufur U. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Lopez O. ,
  • 49', Lopez O. 🟥,
  • 53', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 54', Mandiang S. , Pedernales I. ,
  • 60', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 62', San Bartolome V. , Sabin ,
  • 74', Molina E. , Naveira U. ,
  • 75', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Gomez V. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez F. , Ouacharaf B. ,
  • 87', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 87', Pitu , Molina A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
42.5%
Draw
29.7%
Barakaldo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 30.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.33)
    3.44
    (2.94)
    3.77
    (3.03)
    -0.3%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Talavera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barakaldo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barakaldo has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife440010:01012
    2Guadalajara43016:339
    3Racing Club Ferrol43016:429
    4Ath Bilbao B42203:128
    5Celta Vigo B42116:337
    6Arenteiro42114:227
    7Osasuna B42113:307
    8Zamora41302:116
    9CF Talavera41215:505
    10Barakaldo41214:405
    11Cacereno41215:6-15
    12Lugo41123:4-14
    13Arenas Getxo41125:7-24
    14Real Aviles41124:6-24
    15Pontevedra41122:4-24
    16Ponferradina41035:6-13
    17Real Madrid B41032:4-23
    18Unionistas41033:6-33
    19Merida AD41034:9-53
    20Ourense CF40222:6-42

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

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