Marko Topo vs Jan Choinski: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men Marko Topo - Jan Choinski
Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/8-finals
Marko Topo - Jan Choinski - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
313
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
57%64%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (41/60)72% (44/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (18/45)46% (16/35)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
28% (17/61)32% (19/60)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (19/35)60% (27/45)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
56% (59/105)63% (60/96)
Return Points Won
38% (36/96)44% (46/105)
Total Points Won
47% (95/201)53% (106/201)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
04
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Marko Topo
50.8%
Jan Choinski
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marko Topo's performance.
  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marko Topo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marko Topo - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.25)

    2.02
    (1.56)
    4.3%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Marko Topo - Jan Choinski?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Choinski will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 70.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Topo is ranked ATP: 282. Choinski is ranked ATP: 227.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Topo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marko Topo
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (RET.) (1)Topo M. (Q)0 : 1
    2Choinski J.Sachko V.2 : 0
    3Pavlovic L.Paroulek T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Passaro F.Lajovic D. (6)2 : 1
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Piraino G. (LL)1 : 2
    6Dodig M. (Alt)Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    8Gaubas V.Burruchaga R. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Galan D. E. (7)Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Moeller M. (LL)Barton H. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ymer E. (Alt)Kopp S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Novak D. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (5)Neumayer L.2 : 1
    14Sorger S. (WC)Kovalik J. (Q)2 : 1
    15Stebe C. (LL)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)0 : 2
    16Seyboth Wild T.Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Topo M.Choinski J.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Passaro F.0 : 2
    3Piraino G.Kolar Z.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Burruchaga R. A. (8)1 : 2
    5Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.1 : 2
    6Kopp S.Carballes Baena R. (3)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (5)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J.Passaro F.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Burruchaga R. A. (8)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (5)Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Choinski J.Kolar Z.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (3)Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Choinski J.Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0
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