Lorenzo Sonego vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Chengdu Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo
17/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals
Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
65%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.36)

    2.68
    (3.2)
    6%
    (4.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 44. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sonego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Tomic B.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (Alt)Basilashvili N. (5)1 : 2
    3McDonald M. (2)McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Hanfmann Y. (8)2 : 0
    5Duckworth J. (3)Daniel T.0 : 2
    6Jiang F. (WC)Harris B. (7)0 : 2
    7Tabilo A. (4)Te R. (WC)2 : 0
    8Harris L. (PR)Svajda Z. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Tomic B.Basilashvili N. (5)
    2McDonald M. (2)Budkov Kjaer N.
    3Daniel T.Harris B. (7)
    4Tabilo A. (4)Harris L.
    X
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