Stal Mielec vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)
Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1321
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
1015
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
910
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Noiszewski K. , Gieroba S. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Losada M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kwiatkowski P. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 60', Gieroba S. , Jaron D. ,
  • 60', Olewinski O. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 65', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 67', Jedrasik J. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 67', Staniszewski J. , Adkonis J. ,
  • 77', Losada M. , Kowalik P. ,
  • 77', Kruszelnicki P. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 81', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
  • 82', Barnowski D. 🟨,
  • 84', Noiszewski K. , Lis J. ,
  • 90+2', Los K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Barnowski D. , Adamski R. (A),

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
31.3%
Draw
31.9%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 25.9% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 24.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (2.23)
    3.17
    (3.55)
    2.86
    (2.79)
    -5.4%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla861130:92119
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow852120:91117
    3Slask Wroclaw952215:13217
    4Polonia Bytom951314:12216
    5Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    6S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    7Chrobry Glogow934213:10313
    8Ruch Chorzow934213:11213
    9Polonia Warszawa934215:15013
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce93339:7212
    12LKS Lodz932414:14011
    13Tychy932415:16-111
    14Legnica932414:18-411
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza90637:11-46
    17Leczna906312:20-86
    18Pruszkow91088:27-193

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
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