Roda vs Waalwijk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Roda - Waalwijk
Result
1:4
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Roda - Waalwijk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.47
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (460/536)79% (262/332)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.943.56
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
612
Passes
86% (460/536)79% (262/332)
Long passes
57% (17/30)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
75% (120/160)71% (65/91)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.87
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
126
Tackles
50% (9/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4854
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
3.561.94
Goals prevented
-0.440.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 24', Lajud Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, van Hedel R. , Cleonise D. (A),
  • 43', 0 - 2, Cleonise D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lajud Martinez D. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 54', 0 - 3, van der Venne R. ,
  • 61', van den Hurk A. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 61', Breij M. , Schwirten J. ,
  • 61', Paulissen M. , Maiorano L. ,
  • 67', 0 - 4, Uneken J. , Altena J. (A),
  • 68', Cleonise D. , Kuijpers R. ,
  • 68', Wouters L. , Held N. ,
  • 70', Nisbet J. , Beerten L. ,
  • 73', 1 - 4, Cooper-Love J. , Kruiver J. (A),
  • 84', van Hedel R. , Witteveen M. ,
  • 85', Uneken J. , Kramer M. ,
  • 87', van Gelderen L. , Postma L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roda
48%
Draw
24.9%
Waalwijk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 22.3% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 21.9% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Roda - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.78
    (4.15)
    3.48
    (3.55)
    6.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Roda - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Roda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Injury) Lokesa C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Roda
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    29.08.2025 Roda - FC Eindhoven 0:0
    24.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Roda 3:1
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    16.09.2025 Waalwijk - Vitesse 1:1
    12.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Waalwijk 2:0
    30.08.2025 Waalwijk - Almere City 2:0
    22.08.2025 FC Eindhoven - Waalwijk 1:0
    15.08.2025 Waalwijk - Helmond Sport 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag761018:61219
    2Cambuur861117:9819
    3Jong PSV860218:10818
    4Roda842212:12014
    5Willem II842210:11-114
    6Dordrecht833211:9212
    7Venlo840414:14012
    8Waalwijk832312:11111
    9Den Bosch731317:16110
    10Oss831414:16-210
    11FC Emmen831411:14-310
    12Helmond83149:12-310
    13Eindhoven FC83146:11-510
    14Almere City730416:1069
    15De Graafschap722310:1008
    16Jong AZ821512:15-37
    17Jong Utrecht821512:18-67
    18Maastricht82154:11-77
    19Jong Ajax812513:18-55
    20Vitesse41125:8-3-8

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

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