Marco Trungelliti vs Mili Poljicak: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Targu Mures Challenger Men Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak
Result
Poljicak M. retired
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Final
Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
80%75%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (9/12)39% (7/18)
2nd Serve Points Won
100% (3/3)50% (3/6)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
61% (11/18)25% (3/12)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (3/6)0% (0/3)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
80% (12/15)43% (10/23)
Return Points Won
57% (13/23)20% (3/15)
Total Points Won
66% (25/38)34% (13/38)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (3/3)25% (1/4)
Return Games Won
75% (3/4)0% (0/3)
Total Games Won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
70.7%
Mili Poljicak
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.
  • Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mili Poljicak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mili Poljicak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.49)

    3.21
    (2.45)
    5%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Poljicak will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 82%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Poljicak (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 150. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 406.
    • Trungelliti has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Poljicak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Poljicak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Trungelliti could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mili Poljicak
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    2Brunold M.Martin D.2 : 0
    3Agamenone F.Alcala Gurri M.2 : 0
    4Lopez Morillo I. (Q)Rincon D. (6)0 : 2
    5Jianu F. C. (3)Compagnucci T.2 : 0
    6Damas M.Neuchrist M.1 : 2
    7Marti Pujolras A.Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Palosi S. (Q)Erhard M. (5)2 : 0
    9Poljicak M. (7)Ionel N. D.2 : 1
    10Boitan G. A.Tomescu D. A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Cretu C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Demanet E. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Denolly C. (8)Andreescu S. A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Gima S. (WC)Picchione A.0 : 2
    15Papoe R. M. (Q)Campana Lee G.2 : 0
    16Nijboer R.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Brunold M.2 : 0
    2Agamenone F.Rincon D. (6)2 : 1
    3Jianu F. C. (3)Neuchrist M.2 : 0
    4Marti Pujolras A.Palosi S.0 : 2
    5Poljicak M. (7)Boitan G. A.2 : 1
    6Cretu C.Demanet E.2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (8)Picchione A.0 : 2
    8Papoe R. M.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C. (3)Palosi S.2 : 1
    3Poljicak M. (7)Cretu C.2 : 0
    4Picchione A.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Jianu F. C. (3)2 : 0
    2Poljicak M. (7)Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Poljicak M. (RET.) (7)1 : 0
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