AEL Larissa vs AEK Athens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Greek Super League AEL Larissa - AEK Athens
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
AEL Larissa - AEK Athens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


AEL Larissa
12.1%
Draw
20.7%
AEK Athens
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.5% 19.8% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 18.9% 72.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AEL Larissa - AEK Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.77
    (8.9)
    4.52
    (4.73)
    1.4
    (1.34)
    6.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
    • Larissa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AEK is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
    Latest results of AEL Larissa
    17.09.2025 Marko - AEL Larissa 2:2
    30.08.2025 AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia 1:1
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    19.08.2025 Kalamata - AEL Larissa 1:2
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    17.09.2025 Egaleo - AEK Athens 0:1
    14.09.2025 Levadiakos - AEK Athens 0:1
    28.08.2025 AEK Athens - Anderlecht 2:0
    24.08.2025 AEK Athens - Panserraikos 2:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olympiacos Piraeus33009:099
    2AEK Athens FC33004:049
    3PAOK33004:139
    4Aris32014:316
    5Levadiakos31114:404
    6Kifisia31116:604
    7Atromitos31023:303
    8Volos31022:5-33
    9OFI Crete21012:203
    10Panetolikos31023:4-13
    11AEL Larissa30213:4-12
    12Panathinaikos20113:4-11
    13Asteras Tripolis30122:5-31
    14Panserraikos30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

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