Athletic Bilbao B vs Real Madrid Castilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
60
Corner Kicks
86
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Total shots
152
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
86
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Sanz I. ,
  • 13', Lete E. 🟨,
  • 29', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
  • 35', Sanz I. 🟨,
  • 37', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Bujan E. 🟨,
  • 57', Lete E. , Gibelalde M. ,
  • 58', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
  • 62', Louis-Jean J. , Nomayo W. ,
  • 62', Perez A. , Gift E. ,
  • 75', Sanz I. , Conde A. ,
  • 75', Bujan E. , Hierro A. ,
  • 81', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao B
56.7%
Draw
24.4%
Real Madrid Castilla
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.3% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.38)
    4.35
    (3.23)
    5.74
    (2.76)
    -5.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic Bilbao B (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Athletic Bilbao B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real Madrid Castilla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Athletic Bilbao B has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
    • Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife33007:079
    2Racing Club Ferrol22004:226
    3Arenteiro32014:226
    4Guadalajara32013:216
    5Ath Bilbao B31202:115
    6Zamora31202:115
    7Celta Vigo B31114:314
    8Arenas Getxo31115:504
    9CF Talavera31114:404
    10Barakaldo31113:304
    11Pontevedra31112:3-14
    12Osasuna B31112:3-14
    13Real Aviles31112:3-14
    14Ponferradina31024:313
    15Real Madrid B21012:203
    16Merida AD31023:7-43
    17Ourense CF30212:3-12
    18Cacereno30213:5-22
    19Lugo30121:3-21
    20Unionistas30030:4-40

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+
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