Result
1:2
10/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (52/72) | 80% (51/64) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 46% (17/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (13/64) | 28% (20/72) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 50% (22/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 18% (2/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (72/111) | 67% (68/101) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (33/101) | 35% (39/111) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (105/212) | 50% (107/212) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Luca Castelnuovo
35.3% | Marat Sharipov
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Luca Castelnuovo - Marat Sharipov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
|
1.51 ↑
(1.44) |
4.2%
(7.9%) | |
Preview Facts
- Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 501. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 265.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sharipov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castelnuovo won against Marat Sharipov?
Luca Castelnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marat Sharipov won against Luca Castelnuovo?
Marat Sharipov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castelnuovo - Marat Sharipov were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
Latest results of Marat Sharipov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | O'Connell C. (1) | Te R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Samrej K. (Q) | Eubanks C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Castelnuovo L. (Q) | Jasika O. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sharipov M. | Daniel T. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Basavareddy N. (3) | Ramanathan R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhu E. (LL) | Zeppieri G. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Kikuchi Y. (Q) | Hsu Y. H. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kotov P. | Tabilo A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Harris B. (8) | Yevseyev D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Gea A. | Binda A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Onclin G. | Simakin I. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | McCabe J. | Basilashvili N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Evans D. (7) | Chen C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Crawford O. | Xiao L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Bar Biryukov P. (Alt) | Zhang T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shimizu Y. | Cerundolo J. M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | O'Connell C. (1) | Eubanks C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Castelnuovo L. | Sharipov M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Basavareddy N. (3) | Zeppieri G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Hsu Y. H. | Tabilo A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (8) | Gea A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Onclin G. | McCabe J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Evans D. (7) | Crawford O. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bar Biryukov P. (RET.) | Cerundolo J. M. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | O'Connell C. (1) | Sharipov M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Basavareddy N. (3) | Tabilo A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Harris B. (8) | Onclin G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Evans D. (RET.) (7) | Cerundolo J. M. (2) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | O'Connell C. (RET.) (1) | Tabilo A. (6) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris B. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tabilo A. (6) | Cerundolo J. M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
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