Ajax vs Inter Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Ajax - Inter Milan
Result
0:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
Ajax - Inter Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.22
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
87% (452/518)81% (328/403)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.88
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1531
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
87% (452/518)81% (328/403)
Long passes
57% (25/44)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)69% (74/108)
Crosses
17% (4/23)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.10
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
1517
Tackles
73% (11/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.880.77
Goals prevented
-0.120.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Thuram M. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Thuram M. , Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Thuram M. , Calhanoglu H. (A),
  • 63', Taylor K. , McConnell J. ,
  • 63', Weghorst W. , Dolberg K. ,
  • 67', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
  • 69', Mkhitaryan H. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 73', Baas Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Godts M. , Moro R. ,
  • 76', Regeer Y. , Gloukh O. ,
  • 80', Barella N. , Zielinski P. ,
  • 80', Dimarco F. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 84', Itakura K. , Sutalo J. ,
  • 87', Calhanoglu H. , Sucic P. ,
  • 87', Thuram M. , Bonny A. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
21.4%
Draw
24.4%
Inter Milan
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 25.2% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 25.6% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajax - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (3.63)
    3.96
    (3.75)
    1.82
    (1.94)
    3.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Inter Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Inter (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (91 of 109 users predict this - 83.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.52%90.46%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajax is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Inter has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Inter is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Back Injury) Palacios T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Bouwman A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Martinez L. (Back Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ajax
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2
    10.08.2025 Ajax - Telstar 2:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2
    25.08.2025 Inter Milan - Torino 5:0
    12.08.2025 Monza - Inter Milan 2:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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