Olympiacos Piraeus vs Paphos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos
Result
0:0
17/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.29
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
90
Passes
84% (446/533)67% (169/251)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.12
Total shots
186
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
384
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
84% (446/533)67% (169/251)
Long passes
57% (26/46)14% (9/66)
Passes in final third
74% (158/213)36% (17/47)
Crosses
20% (9/45)100% (1/1)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.20
Throw-ins
3212
Fouls
1514
Tackles
90% (9/10)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5143
Clearances
158
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.120.22
Goals prevented
0.120.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Bruno 🟨,
  • 20', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 26', Bruno 🟨,
  • 33', David Luiz ↓, Pileas K. ↑,
  • 33', Dimata L. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
  • 36', Pirola L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Strefezza G. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
  • 46', Garcia D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
  • 61', Rodinei ↓, Costinha ↑,
  • 71', Taremi M. 🟨,
  • 75', Hezze S. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
  • 75', Pirola L. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
  • 76', Jaja ↓, Sema K. ↑,
  • 76', Correia J. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
  • 85', Dragomir V. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
  • 88', Langa B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympiacos Piraeus
66.8%		Draw
20.3%		Paphos
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 21.3% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 22.2% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • The chances for Paphos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.45)    		 4.7 ↑
    (4.47)    		 7.43 ↑
    (7.37)    		 4.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Olympiacos Piraeus - Paphos?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). Paphos will win (votes: 10 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 59% – 82.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Paphos (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Olympiacos have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paphos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Olympiacos is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Tzolakis K. (Red Card) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yaremchuk R. (Calf Injury) Yazici Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Odefalk W. (Inactive) Papadoudis A. (Inactive) Pedrao (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    13.09.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Panserraikos 5:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Asteras Tripolis 2:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Inter Milan - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺
    14.08.2025 Napoli - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paphos
    13.09.2025 Paphos - Apollon Limassol 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 APOEL - Paphos 0:1 ✺
    26.08.2025 Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:1 ✺
    19.08.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos 1:2 ✺
    12.08.2025 Paphos - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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