Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.27
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Long passes
32% (19/60)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)55% (52/95)
Crosses
59% (10/17)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.86
Throw-ins
1225
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6063
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.271.73
Goals prevented
0.27-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 31', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Bajrami G. , Anderson M. ,
  • 62', Scott K. , Dixon K. ,
  • 62', Brown R. , Holohan G. ,
  • 63', Angol L. , Power D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, McKirdy H. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 71', Sherring S. , Martin J. ,
  • 72', Hutchinson I. , Pell H. ,
  • 82', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 83', Young L. , Taylor T. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 85', Pereira D. , Malone S. ,
  • 89', Tshimanga K. , Flower L. ,
  • 90+4', Adeyemo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
48.5%
Draw
26.5%
Cheltenham Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25.3% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 25.1% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.74)
    3.54
    (3.7)
    3.74
    (4.45)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Recent performances by Crawley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Swindon860217:10718
    2Gillingham853012:5718
    3Salford851213:9416
    4Walsall85128:5316
    5Grimsby843114:9515
    6Chesterfield842212:10214
    7Bromley834112:8413
    8Crewe841312:9313
    9Bristol Rovers84139:9013
    10MK Dons833213:7612
    11Fleetwood833210:10012
    12Notts Co832312:10211
    13Cambridge Utd83239:8111
    14Oldham82425:5010
    15Barnet83148:11-310
    16Tranmere723211:839
    17Harrogate82248:12-48
    18Crawley82247:11-48
    19Colchester81437:9-27
    20Accrington71334:7-36
    21Barrow82066:11-56
    22Newport81258:13-55
    23Shrewsbury81256:16-105
    24Cheltenham81163:14-114

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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