Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Górnik Łęczna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna
Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Szypula P. (Pol)
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
179
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
716
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', Kryeziu E. , Rafa Santos ,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Spiaczka B. , Deja A. (A),
  • 22', Tkacz D. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Adamski R. , Jedrasik J. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 2, Spacil B. , Tkacz D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
  • 59', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 61', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 61', Jedrasik J. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Farbiszewski B. (Own goal),
  • 73', Spacil B. , Kroczek D. ,
  • 76', Jaron D. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 79', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
  • 81', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,
  • 86', Spiaczka B. , Doba S. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Adamski R. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Adamski R. ,
  • 90+3', David Abbott G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lis J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25.3%
Draw
28.6%
Górnik Łęczna
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.1% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.4% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.
  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Łęczna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+25.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-22%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.57
    (1.88)
    5.44
    (3.55)
    3.16
    (3.75)
    -34.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Górnik Łęczna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla861130:92119
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow852120:91117
    3Slask Wroclaw952215:13217
    4Polonia Bytom951314:12216
    5S. Rzeszow942314:13114
    6Chrobry Glogow934213:10313
    7Ruch Chorzow934213:11213
    8Polonia Warszawa934215:15013
    9Grodzisk M933318:15312
    10Pogon Siedlce93339:7212
    11LKS Lodz932414:14011
    12Tychy932415:16-111
    13Legnica932414:18-411
    14Stal Mielec932412:19-711
    15Odra Opole92438:12-410
    16Puszcza90637:11-46
    17Leczna906312:20-86
    18Pruszkow91088:27-193

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Górnik Łęczna?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
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