Bayern Munich vs Hamburger SV: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Arena (Munich).

: Bundesliga - Round 3
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	0.56
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
92% (712/771)	84% (267/316)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.63	0.45
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	2
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
10	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
50	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
92% (712/771)	84% (267/316)
Long passes
65% (15/23)	51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
85% (258/305)	80% (44/55)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.15	0.65
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
63% (5/8)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
32	32
Clearances
17	26
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.45	2.63
Goals prevented
0.45	-2.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', Soumahoro A. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Gnabry S. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Pavlovic A. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
27', Upamecano D. 🟨,
29', 4 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soumahoro A. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
46', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
46', Capaldo N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑,
46', Gnabry S. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
46', Upamecano D. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
62', 5 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
64', Guerreiro R. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
64', Kane H. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
76', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
76', Vieira F. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
76', Diaz L. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
86', Muheim M. 🟨,
90+2', Pavlovic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bayern Munich
90.3%

Draw
6.8%

Hamburger SV
3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.9%

7.5%

3.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.08)	14.5 ↑ (12.68)	33.68 ↑ (27)	4.4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 78.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.
Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Hamburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
There will not play in Hamburg: Gocholeishvili G. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Bayern: Bischof T. (Surgery)
There are questionable in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Health problems) Jatta B. (Thigh Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:8. (average 3.9:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:3. (average 6.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Hamburger SV?

Bayern Munich has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Bayern Munich?

Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV were as follows:

Latest results of Bayern Munich

30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Grasshoppers - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Hamburger SV

04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3 ✺

29.08.2025 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 0:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Pirmasens - Hamburger SV 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Mallorca - Hamburger SV 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	6	0	0	25:3	22	18
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	12:4	8	14
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	8:8	0	13
4	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12
5	Bayer Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
6	FC Koln	6	3	1	2	11:9	2	10
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	3	0	3	17:16	1	9
8	Freiburg	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
9	Hamburger SV	6	2	2	2	6:8	-2	8
10	St. Pauli	6	2	1	3	8:9	-1	7
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7
12	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	9:14	-5	7
13	Union Berlin	6	2	1	3	8:13	-5	7
14	Augsburg	6	2	0	4	11:13	-2	6
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	5:10	-5	4
17	B. Monchengladbach	6	0	3	3	5:12	-7	3
18	Heidenheim	6	1	0	5	4:11	-7	3

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2, Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball