Falkirk vs St. Mirren: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Falkirk - St. Mirren
Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 5
  • Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
Falkirk - St. Mirren - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (372/473)71% (232/326)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.022.03
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
84
Free Kicks
136
Passes
79% (372/473)71% (232/326)
Long passes
44% (33/75)53% (48/90)
Passes in final third
65% (82/127)68% (93/137)
Crosses
27% (7/26)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.38
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
613
Tackles
65% (11/17)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5438
Clearances
2926
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.031.02
Goals prevented
0.030.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Fraser M. , King R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 63', Spencer B. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 1, John D. ,
  • 64', Arfield S. , Williams E. ,
  • 69', Ayunga J. , N'Lundulu D. ,
  • 79', MacIver R. , Graham B. ,
  • 80', Miller C. , Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Mandron M. , John D. (A),
  • 84', Phillips K. 🟨,
  • 87', George S. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Graham B. , McCann L. (A),
  • 90', John D. , Tanser S. ,
  • 90+2', Tait D. , Agyeman A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Falkirk
42.3%
Draw
28.3%
St. Mirren
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.7% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Falkirk - St. Mirren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.16)
    3.3
    (3.4)
    3.23
    (3.27)
    5.9%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Falkirk - St. Mirren?
  • Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Falkirk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C. (Groin Injury) Lang T. (Inactive) Lissah F. (Ankle Injury) Sneddon J. (Inactive) Stewart B. (Injury) Yeats F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Mirren: Donnelly L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Falkirk: Ross E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Mirren: McMenamin C. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
    Latest results of Falkirk
    31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1
    15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1
    09.08.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 3:1
    03.08.2025 Falkirk - Dundee United 2:2
    26.07.2025 Falkirk - Spartans 4:0
    Latest results of St. Mirren
    31.08.2025 Hibernian - St. Mirren 1:1
    16.08.2025 St. Mirren - Hearts 2:1
    09.08.2025 St. Mirren - Motherwell 0:0
    03.08.2025 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts761016:61019
    2Celtic752011:3817
    3Kilmarnock724111:8310
    4Dundee Utd723212:1119
    5St. Mirren72325:6-19
    6Motherwell715111:1018
    7Hibernian715110:1008
    8Rangers71516:7-18
    9Livingston813410:14-46
    10Falkirk71338:13-56
    11Dundee FC81346:13-76
    12Aberdeen71154:9-54

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
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