Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens
Result
1:0 OT
12/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3515
Shots off target
822
Shooting PCT
2.86% (1/35)0% (0/15)
Blocked Shots
1418
Goalkeeper Saves
1534
Saves PCT
100% (15/15)97.14% (34/35)
Penalties
46
PIM
1115
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (6/6)
Hits
2421
Faceoffs Won
2226
Faceoffs %
45.8354.17
Giveaways
1413
Takeaways
20
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 06:14, Myers P. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:54, Anderson J. (2 min),
  • 08:46, Guhle K. (5 min),
  • 08:46, Domi M. (5 min),
  • 08:46, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 11:29, Gallagher B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:59, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
  • 04:10, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 04:10, Anderson J. (2 min),
  • 04:41, Savard D. (2 min),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:36, 1 - 0, Marner M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Tavares J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
55%
Draw
20.1%
Montreal Canadiens
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 20% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 19% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Toronto Maple Leafs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.73)
    4.69
    (4.77)
    3.81
    (3.82)
    5.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Toronto is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 4.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Toronto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Toronto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O. (Injury) Hakanpaa J. (Lower-Body Injury) McCabe J. (Injury) Pacioretty M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Lower-Body Injury) Heineman E. (Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 69:44 (average 3.5:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 34:16 (average 4.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
    09.11.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 4:1
    09.10.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:0
    28.09.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    26.09.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 2:1
    NHL Table
    Pre-season

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Buffalo Sabres220006:14
    2Montreal Canadiens211006:34
    3Tampa Bay Lightning211005:34
    4Toronto Maple Leafs210106:63
    5Detroit Red Wings110003:22
    6Ottawa Senators201016:62
    7Boston Bruins201017:92
    8Florida Panthers200023:100


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Nashville Predators3201012:65
    2Colorado Avalanche220008:34
    3Dallas Stars202005:34
    4Minnesota Wild201105:53
    5Winnipeg Jets200114:61
    6St. Louis Blues200112:61
    7Chicago Blackhawks100012:30
    8Utah Mammoth300034:140


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    2Los Angeles Kings220006:24
    3Calgary Flames311017:64
    4San Jose Sharks110003:02
    5Anaheim Ducks210017:42
    6Seattle Kraken210016:72
    7Vancouver Canucks100013:50
    8Vegas Golden Knights200021:60


    Metropolitan Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1New York Rangers210109:83
    2Washington Capitals110005:22
    3New Jersey Devils210019:72
    4Philadelphia Flyers201015:62
    5Columbus Blue Jackets310025:72
    6Pittsburgh Penguins100101:21
    7New York Islanders200114:91
    8Carolina Hurricanes100011:20

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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