Ilia Simakin vs Sho Shimabukuro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro
Result
0:2
29/08/2025 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - Quarter-finals
Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
51%64%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (17/26)74% (28/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)62% (13/21)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/38)35% (9/26)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (8/21)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
59% (30/51)69% (41/59)
Return Points Won
31% (18/59)41% (21/51)
Total Points Won
44% (48/110)56% (62/110)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
48.5%
Sho Shimabukuro
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 46%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.84)

    1.81
    (1.84)
    7.1%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 236. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198.
    • Simakin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shimabukuro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)
    2Shin S.Isomura K.
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Uchiyama Y. (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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