Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolini: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini
Result
2:0
29/08/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals
Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
66%64%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)67% (28/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (14/24)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)75% (6/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
155 km/h148 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
126 km/h125 km/h
1st Return Points Won
33% (14/42)26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (12/24)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)0% (0/2)
Winners
2220
Unforced Errors
1626
Net Points Won
50% (3/6)68% (13/19)
Service Points Won
68% (47/69)61% (40/66)
Return Points Won
39% (26/66)32% (22/69)
Total Points Won
54% (73/135)46% (62/135)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)
Distance Covered (metres)
14111446

Chances of winning


Marketa Vondrousova
49.5%
Jasmine Paolini
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marketa Vondrousova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marketa Vondrousova's performance.
  • Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marketa Vondrousova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.21)

    1.89
    (1.68)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Vondrousova will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Paolini will win (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vondrousova: 48.2%79.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marketa Vondrousova will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 60. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.
    • In recent matches, Vondrousova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paolini is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Paolini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vondrousova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.
    4Krejcikova B.TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
    bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
    croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
    czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max
    denmarkDenmarkHBO Max
    finlandFinlandHBO Max
    franceFranceHBO Max
    hungaryHungaryHBO Max
    moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
    montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
    norwayNorwayHBO Max
    polandPolandHBO Max
    romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
    serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
    sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
    spainSpainHBO Max
    swedenSwedenHBO Max
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan