Mérida AD vs Barakaldo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Mérida AD - Barakaldo
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1
Mérida AD - Barakaldo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Herranz Corral V. 🟨,
  • 42', Galarza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 59', Munoz I. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 59', Albizua U. , Perez E. ,
  • 68', Naveira U. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
46%
Draw
29.2%
Barakaldo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Mérida AD - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    3.68
    (3.24)
    8.3%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Mérida AD has had a series of away games.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife22005:056
    2Arenas Getxo21104:314
    3Pontevedra21102:114
    4Ponferradina21013:123
    5Racing Club Ferrol11002:113
    6Real Madrid B11002:113
    7Osasuna B11001:013
    8Merida AD21011:3-23
    9Cacereno20203:302
    10Zamora20201:102
    11Ath Bilbao B10100:001
    12Celta Vigo B10100:001
    13Ourense CF10100:001
    14Barakaldo20111:2-11
    15Lugo20111:2-11
    16Real Aviles20110:3-31
    17CF Talavera10011:2-10
    18Arenteiro10011:2-10
    19Unionistas10010:1-10
    20Guadalajara10010:2-20

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