Denis Yevseyev vs Hiroki Moriya: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Denis Yevseyev - Hiroki Moriya
Result
1:2
26/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals
Denis Yevseyev - Hiroki Moriya - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
121
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
49%56%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (27/45)69% (31/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (20/46)56% (20/36)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
31% (14/45)38% (17/45)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
52% (47/90)60% (51/85)
Return Points Won
40% (34/85)48% (43/90)
Total Points Won
46% (81/175)54% (94/175)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Denis Yevseyev
56.2%
Hiroki Moriya
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Yevseyev's performance.
  • Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Yevseyev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Denis Yevseyev - Hiroki Moriya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.91)

    2.12
    (1.84)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Yevseyev - Hiroki Moriya?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Moriya will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yevseyev: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 318. Moriya is ranked ATP: 372.
    • Yevseyev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Moriya is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Moriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yevseyev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    Latest results of Hiroki Moriya
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)
    2Shin S.Isomura K.
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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