Darya Kasatkina vs Elena Gabriela Ruse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	3
Double Faults
8	6
1st Serve Percentage
63%	52%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)	48% (14/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)	22% (6/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)	38% (5/13)
1st Return Points Won
55% (16/29)	44% (15/34)
2nd Return Points Won
78% (21/27)	50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
62% (8/13)	67% (4/6)
Winners
8	14
Unforced Errors
17	40
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)	86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
55% (29/53)	34% (19/56)
Return Points Won
66% (37/56)	45% (24/53)
Total Points Won
61% (66/109)	39% (43/109)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	1
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)	20% (2/10)
Return Games Won
80% (8/10)	44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
68% (13/19)	32% (6/19)
Distance Covered (metres)
944	928

Chances of winning

Darya Kasatkina
60.7%

Elena Gabriela Ruse
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Gabriela Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Gabriela Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)		2.42 ↓ (3.03)	4.7% (3.7%)

What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Ruse will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 55.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Ruse is ranked WTA: 66.
In recent matches, Kasatkina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ruse is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kasatkina could have a small edge in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Elena Gabriela Ruse?

Darya Kasatkina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elena Gabriela Ruse won against Darya Kasatkina?

Elena Gabriela Ruse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse were as follows:

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

10.08.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti 1:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina 0:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova 0:2 ✺

03.07.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Irina-Camelia Begu 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Elena Gabriela Ruse

18.08.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Hailey Baptiste 0:2 ✺

07.08.2025 Aoi Ito - Elena Gabriela Ruse 2:0 ✺

28.07.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Emma Raducanu 0:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Katerina Siniakova - Elena Gabriela Ruse 2:0 ✺

30.06.2025 Elena Gabriela Ruse - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Masarova R.	2 : 0
2	Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 0
3	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M.
4	Marino R. (Q)	Fernandez L. (31)	0 : 2
5	Mertens E. (19)	Ahn A. (WC)	2 : 0
6	Sun L.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Bucsa C.	Liu C. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Eala A.	Tauson C. (14)	2 : 1
9	Rybakina E. (9)	Pareja J. (WC)	2 : 0
10	Bronzetti L.	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
11	Raducanu E.	Shibahara E. (Q)	2 : 0
12	Tjen J. (Q)	Kudermetova V. (24)	2 : 1
13	Kessler M. (32)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
15	Sasnovich A.	Jovic I.	0 : 2
16	Aiava D. (Q)	Paolini J. (7)	0 : 2
17	Pegula J. (4)	Sherif M.	2 : 0
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
19	Azarenka V.	Inoue H. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Yastremska D. (30)	2 : 1
21	Samsonova L. (17)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
22	Jeanjean L.	Hon P. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Li A.	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
24	Zhang S. (Q)	Bencic B. (16)	0 : 2
25	Navarro E. (10)	Wang Y.	2 : 0
26	Teichmann J.	McNally C. (WC)	0 : 2
27	Uchijima M.	Danilovic O.	2 : 1
28	Krejcikova B.	Mboko V. (22)	2 : 0
29	Ostapenko J. (25)	Wang Xiy. (Q)	2 : 0
30	Townsend T.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Zhu L.	2 : 1
32	Parks A.	Andreeva M. (5)
33	Keys M. (6)	Zarazua R.	1 : 2
34	Kvitova P.	Parry D.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K. (Q)	Sonmez Z.
36	Boulter K.	Kostyuk M. (27)
37	Noskova L. (21)	Galfi D. (Q)
38	Jones F. (Q)	Lys E.
39	Cirstea S.	Sierra S.
40	Williams V. (WC)	Muchova K. (11)
41	Kasatkina D. (15)	Ruse G.	2 : 0
42	Rakhimova K.	Garcia C. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Baptiste H.	Siniakova K.
44	Minnen G.	Osaka N. (23)
45	Frech M. (28)	Gibson T. (WC)
46	Semenistaja D. (Q)	Stearns P.
47	Vekic D.	Bouzas Maneiro J.
48	Tomljanovic A.	Gauff C. (3)
49	Anisimova A. (8)	Birrell K.
50	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	Joint M.
51	Collins D.	Cristian J.
52	Krueger A.	Kenin S. (26)
53	Haddad Maia B. (18)	Kartal S.
54	Boisson L.	Golubic V.
55	Sakkari M.	Maria T.	2 : 0
56	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (12)
57	Alexandrova E. (13)	Sevastova A.
58	Dolehide C.	Wang Xin.
59	Zakharova A.	Avanesyan E.
60	Siegemund L.	Shnaider D. (20)
61	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Ngounoue C. (WC)	2 : 1
62	Putintseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
63	Lamens S.	Glozman V. (WC)
64	Arango E.	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kudermetova P.
2	TBD #3	Fernandez L. (31)
3	Mertens E. (19)	Sun L.
4	Bucsa C.	Eala A.
5	Rybakina E. (9)	Valentova T.
6	Raducanu E.	Tjen J.
7	Kessler M. (32)	Vondrousova M.
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (7)
9	Pegula J. (4)	Blinkova A.
10	Azarenka V.	Pavlyuchenkova A.
11	Samsonova L. (17)	Hon P.
12	Li A.	Bencic B. (16)
13	Navarro E. (10)	McNally C.
14	Uchijima M.	Krejcikova B.
15	Ostapenko J. (25)	Townsend T.
16	Potapova A.	TBD #32
17	Zarazua R.	Parry D.
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Kasatkina D. (15)	Rakhimova K.
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	TBD #47	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	TBD #50
26	TBD #51	TBD #52
27	TBD #53	TBD #54
28	Sakkari M.	TBD #56
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	TBD #59	TBD #60
31	Kalinskaya A. (29)	Putintseva Y.
32	TBD #63	TBD #64

1/16-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
13	TBD #25	TBD #26
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32

1/8-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max