Result
2:3
26/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (49/72) | 71% (55/78) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 56% (38/68) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 176 km/h | 173 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 144 km/h | 141 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (26/78) | 33% (24/72) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 45% (30/67) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 54 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 52 | 66 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 74% (29/39) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (85/138) | 64% (93/146) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (53/146) | 38% (53/138) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (138/284) | 51% (146/284) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 79% (19/24) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 21% (5/24) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 50% (24/48) |
| Distance Covered (metres) |
|---|
| 3015 | 2947 |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
45% | Francisco Cerundolo
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.91) |
|
1.73 ↓
(1.91) |
5.1%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo?
Users Predictions:
Francisco Cerundolo will win
(53 of 55 users predict this - 96.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francisco Cerundolo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 62. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 24.
- Arnaldi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerundolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arnaldi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Francisco Cerundolo?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francisco Cerundolo won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Francisco Cerundolo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Francisco Cerundolo
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Ruusuvuori E. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Royer V. (WC) | Bu Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (23) | Cilic M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Schoolkate T. (WC) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Holt B. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Moller E. | Paul T. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (10) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Halys Q. | Goffin D. | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Brooksby J. | Vukic A. | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Passaro F. (Q) | Cobolli F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Diallo G. (31) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Munar J. | Faria J. (LL) | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. | Tseng C. H. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Gomez F. A. (Q) | Draper J. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. | Fearnley J. | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Harris B. (LL) | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Humbert U. (22) | Walton A. | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | Kovacevic A. | Wong C. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Duckworth J. (LL) | Boyer T. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 24 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Rublev A. (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Khachanov K. (9) | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Dellien H. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Riedi L. (Q) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Arnaldi M. | Cerundolo F. (19) | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Tsitsipas S. (26) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Gaston H. | Mochizuki S. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | O'Connell C. | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Djokovic N. (7) | Tien L. | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Norrie C. | Korda S. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Comesana F. | Michelsen A. (28) | 3 : 1 |
| 37 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Nishioka Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Damm M. (Q) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Struff J-L. (Q) | McDonald M. | 3 : 1 |
| 40 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Rune H. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Jarry N. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Blanchet U. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 1 |
| 43 | Fonseca J. | Kecmanovic M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Nardi L. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (30) | De Jong J. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 46 | Kym J. (Q) | Quinn E. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Baez S. | Harris L. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 48 | Nava E. (WC) | Fritz T. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (6) | Buse I. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Carreno-Busta P. | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 51 | Thompson J. | Moutet C. | 3 : 1 |
| 52 | Mannarino A. | Griekspoor T. (29) | 3 : 0 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (20) | Coric B. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Galan D. E. (Alt) | Collignon R. | 0 : 3 |
| 56 | Ofner S. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Medvedev D. (13) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 3 |
| 58 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Carballes Baena R. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 3 |
| 60 | Shevchenko A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Darderi L. (32) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 0 |
| 62 | Dostanic S. (WC) | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 63 | Bellucci M. | Shang J. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Opelka R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Popyrin A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Royer V. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (23) | Schoolkate T. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Paul T. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (10) | Goffin D. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Brooksby J. | Cobolli F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Diallo G. (31) | Munar J. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Bergs Z. (WO.) | Draper J. (5) | |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Fearnley J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Safiullin R. | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Walton A. | Wong C. | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Rublev A. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Khachanov K. (9) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Riedi L. | Cerundolo F. (19) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Tsitsipas S. (26) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Mochizuki S. | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (7) | Svajda Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Norrie C. | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Damm M. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Struff J-L. | Rune H. (11) | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Blanchet U. | 2 : 3 |
| 22 | Fonseca J. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (30) | Kym J. | 2 : 3 |
| 24 | Harris L. | Fritz T. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (6) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Thompson J. | Mannarino A. | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (20) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Collignon R. | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 2 |
| 29 | Bonzi B. | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Rinderknech A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Darderi L. (32) | Spizzirri E. | 3 : 1 |
| 32 | Bellucci M. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Shapovalov D. (27) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (23) | Paul T. (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Musetti L. (10) | Cobolli F. (RET.) (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Munar J. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Wong C. | Rublev A. (15) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Majchrzak K. (RET.) | Riedi L. | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. (RET.) | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (7) | Norrie C. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Tiafoe F. (17) | Struff J-L. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Blanchet U. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Kym J. | Fritz T. (4) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (RET.) (6) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 2 |
| 14 | Lehecka J. (20) | Collignon R. | 3 : 0 |
| 15 | Bonzi B. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Darderi L. (32) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bublik A. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Musetti L. (10) | Munar J. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Rublev A. (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Riedi L. | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (7) | Struff J-L. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Machac T. (21) | Fritz T. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Mannarino A. | Lehecka J. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Rinderknech A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Musetti L. (10) | |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 3 | Djokovic N. (7) | Fritz T. (4) | |
| 4 | Lehecka J. (20) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finalsFinal
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