Christian Garin vs Marco Trungelliti: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP US Open Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti
Result
0:2
21/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
62%49%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (36/56)73% (32/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (16/34)56% (25/45)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)80% (8/10)
1st Return Points Won
30% (13/44)39% (22/56)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (20/45)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
20% (2/10)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
57% (50/87)64% (56/88)
Return Points Won
36% (32/88)43% (37/87)
Total Points Won
47% (82/175)53% (93/175)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
71.5%
Marco Trungelliti
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.
  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.48)

    3.29
    (2.45)
    5.6%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Marco Trungelliti?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Garin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 127. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Garin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Trungelliti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Garin is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Lajal M.2 : 0
    2Clarke J.Satterfield J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Daniel T.Sachko V.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Struff J-L. (31)0 : 2
    5De Jong J. (2)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Monday J.Mayot H.0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S.Krueger M.1 : 2
    8Choinski J.Collarini A. (Alt)0 : 2
    9Taberner C. (3)Kym J.0 : 2
    10Zheng M. (WC)Uchiyama Y.2 : 0
    11Lajovic D.van Assche L.0 : 2
    12Wu Y.Ficovich J. P. (17)2 : 0
    13Cerundolo J. M. (4)Hemery C.2 : 0
    14Shimizu Y.Shimabukuro S.2 : 1
    15Damm M. (WC)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    16Hassan B.Barrios Vera T. (20)2 : 0
    17Duckworth J. (5)Bagnis F.2 : 0
    18Maestrelli F.McCabe J.1 : 2
    19Bouquier A.Piros Z.0 : 2
    20Kennedy J. (WC)Tirante T. A. (24)0 : 2
    21Basilashvili N. (6)Onclin G.2 : 1
    22Huesler M.Napolitano S.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B.Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    24Holmgren A.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    25Draxl L. (7)Jacquet K.0 : 2
    26Kubler J.Loffhagen G.2 : 0
    27Cassone M.Monteiro T.2 : 1
    28Galarneau A.Prizmic D. (19)0 : 2
    29Svrcina D. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    30Droguet T.Kachmazov A. (RET.)1 : 0
    31Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)Sun F.1 : 1
    32Harris L.Evans D. (18)2 : 1
    33Virtanen O. (9)Willwerth B. (WC)2 : 1
    34Pavlovic L.Riedi L.0 : 2
    35Bolt A.Crawford O.1 : 2
    36Johns G. (WC)Smith C. (27)2 : 0
    37Passaro F. (10)Hsu Y. H.2 : 1
    38Gueymard Wayenburg S.Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    39Kypson P.Tomic B.0 : 2
    40Rocha H.Herbert P. (23)2 : 1
    41Blockx A. (11)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 0
    42Barrena A.Coppejans K.1 : 2
    43Zink T. (WC)Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    44Neumayer L.Buse I. (29)1 : 2
    45Mochizuki S. (12)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    46Burruchaga R. A.Engel J.2 : 1
    47Maloney P. (WC)Ymer E.2 : 0
    48Den Ouden G.Galan D. E. (32)0 : 2
    49Garin C. (13)Watanuki Y.2 : 0
    50Trungelliti M.Eubanks C.2 : 1
    51Martin A. (WC)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    52Llamas Ruiz P.Hanfmann Y. (21)2 : 1
    53Klein L. (14)Gomez F. A.0 : 2
    54Stricker D.Cina F.0 : 2
    55Grenier H.Jasika O.2 : 1
    56Tabur C.Landaluce M. (30)0 : 2
    57Faria J. (15)Noguchi R.2 : 1
    58Zeppieri G.Habib H.2 : 1
    59Gojo B.Blanchet U.1 : 2
    60Popko D.Seyboth Wild T. (26)2 : 0
    61Gigante M. (16)Butvilas E.2 : 1
    62Rodesch C.Wong C.0 : 2
    63Trotter J. K.Harris B.1 : 2
    64Kukushkin M.Pellegrino A. (28)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Clarke J.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Struff J-L. (31)1 : 2
    3De Jong J. (2)Mayot H.2 : 1
    4Krueger M.Collarini A.2 : 0
    5Kym J.Zheng M.2 : 0
    6van Assche L.Wu Y.0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M. (4)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Damm M.Hassan B.2 : 0
    9Duckworth J. (5)McCabe J.2 : 1
    10Piros Z.Tirante T. A. (24)2 : 0
    11Basilashvili N. (6)Huesler M.0 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    13Jacquet K.Kubler J.0 : 2
    14Cassone M.Prizmic D. (19)0 : 2
    15Merida Aguilar D.Droguet T.2 : 1
    16Sun F.Harris L.0 : 2
    17Virtanen O. (9)Riedi L.0 : 2
    18Crawford O.Johns G.0 : 2
    19Passaro F. (10)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    20Tomic B.Rocha H.0 : 2
    21Blockx A. (RET.) (11)Coppejans K.0 : 1
    22Sakamoto R.Buse I. (29)1 : 2
    23Mochizuki S. (12)Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    24Maloney P.Galan D. E. (32)0 : 2
    25Garin C. (13)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    26Martin A.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    27Gomez F. A.Cina F.2 : 1
    28Grenier H.Landaluce M. (30)2 : 0
    29Faria J. (15)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    30Blanchet U.Popko D.2 : 0
    31Gigante M. (16)Wong C.1 : 2
    32Harris B.Kukushkin M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)Struff J-L. (31)0 : 2
    2De Jong J. (2)Krueger M.2 : 0
    3Kym J.Wu Y.2 : 0
    4Shimizu Y.Damm M.0 : 2
    5Duckworth J. (5)Piros Z.1 : 2
    6Huesler M.Svajda Z. (22)0 : 2
    7Kubler J.Prizmic D. (19)1 : 2
    8Merida Aguilar D.Harris L.0 : 2
    9Riedi L.Johns G.2 : 0
    10Passaro F. (10)Rocha H.2 : 0
    11Coppejans K.Buse I. (29)0 : 2
    12Mochizuki S. (12)Galan D. E. (32)2 : 0
    13Trungelliti M.Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    14Gomez F. A.Grenier H.2 : 1
    15Faria J. (15)Blanchet U.0 : 2
    16Wong C.Harris B.2 : 0
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