Result
1:3
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : National League North - Round 3
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 1 - 0, Smalley B. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Wardle J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 3, Bell L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town 38.5% | Draw 29.8% | Marine 31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merthyr Town - Marine Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.09) |
3.11 ↑ (3.1) |
2.91 ↓ (3.52) |
8.3% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Marine?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Merthyr is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Marine has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Marine?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marine won against Merthyr Town?
Marine has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Marine were as follows:
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | South Shields | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 19 |
2 | Scarborough | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Chorley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
6 | Merthyr Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
8 | Worksop | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Macclesfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Leamington | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Spennymoor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
12 | AFC Telford | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Radcliffe | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Curzon Ashton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
15 | Marine | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
16 | Darlington | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 8 |
17 | Chester | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
18 | Oxford City | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 7 |
19 | Buxton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
20 | Hereford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bedford | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
22 | Alfreton | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Peterborough Sports | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Southport | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
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