Christian Garin vs Yosuke Watanuki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP US Open Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki
Result
2:0
18/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals
Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
67%57%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (24/38)75% (27/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)30% (8/27)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
28% (10/36)37% (14/38)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (19/27)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
920
Unforced Errors
1229
Net Points Won
45% (5/11)63% (10/16)
Service Points Won
61% (38/62)54% (34/63)
Return Points Won
46% (29/63)39% (24/62)
Total Points Won
54% (67/125)46% (58/125)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
53.5%
Yosuke Watanuki
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christian Garin's form might have worsened.
  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christian Garin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.53)

    2.06
    (2.38)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Yosuke Watanuki?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 121. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 147.
    • Garin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Watanuki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Garin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)
    7Borges N.Holt B.
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)
    35Norrie C.Korda S.
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.
    58Navone M.Giron M.
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)
    63Bellucci M.Shang J.
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30TBD #59Davidovich Fokina A. (18)
    31TBD #61TBD #62
    32TBD #63TBD #64

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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