Erzgebirge Aue vs TSV Havelse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse
Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 3. Liga - Round 3
  • Referee: Besong J. (Ger)
Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
125
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
125
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1312
Goalkeeper Saves
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Posselt J. X. , Kolgeci B. (A),
  • 22', Fabisch J. 🟨,
  • 27', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 29', Boujellab N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Riedel F. 🟨,
  • 63', Seiffert M. , Clausen M. ,
  • 63', Fabisch J. , Simnica L. ,
  • 63', Gunther-Schmidt J. , Schmid M. ,
  • 64', Posselt J. X. , Muller R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Simnica L. , Fallmann P. (A),
  • 77', Ilic M. , Paldino L. ,
  • 78', Barylla A. , Majetschak E. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Uhlmann E. , Fallmann P. (A),
  • 84', Kolgeci B. , Rexhepi A. ,
  • 86', Malone R. 🟨,
  • 88', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ehlers J. , Seidel P. ,
  • 90+3', Oltrogge J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
52.5%
Draw
24.6%
TSV Havelse
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.4% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.3% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.
  • TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TSV Havelse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.61)
    3.92
    (3.98)
    4.25
    (4.98)
    3.6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Havelse will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aue has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Havelse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Aue is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of TSV Havelse
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg972020:71323
    2Saarbrucken953118:11718
    3Cottbus952221:12917
    4VfL Osnabruck944111:5616
    5RW Essen943219:17215
    6Hoffenheim II942319:14514
    7Viktoria Koln942312:9314
    8Mannheim941417:14313
    9Ulm941416:14213
    10Wehen934213:11213
    11Verl934217:16113
    12Munich 1860933314:16-212
    13Stuttgart II93339:14-512
    14Alemannia Aachen931515:17-210
    15Hansa Rostock92436:10-410
    16Aue93158:14-610
    17Ingolstadt915315:1418
    18Regensburg92168:15-77
    19TSV Havelse904510:19-94
    20Schweinfurt91086:25-193

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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