Result
2:7
03/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Advertisement
Watch and bet Ilves - Kärpät live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 3.04 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.69% (2/26) | 35% (7/20) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 92.31% (24/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.82 | 58.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 3)
- 01:52, 0 - 1, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Tieksola T. (A),
- 02:59, 1 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Henman L. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 07:09, 1 - 2, Raty Aku (G), Virta P. (A), Tardif B. (A2)
- 07:57, 2 - 2, Borg E. (G), Kerkkanen J. (A), Hermonen J. (A2)
- 11:33, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 18:39, Pelli A. (2 min),
- 19:37, 2 - 3, Hirvonen R. (G), Kantner M. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 01:25, 2 - 4, Tardif B. (G), Virta P. (A), Tieksola T. (A2)
- 01:25, Pavlat D. ↓, Taponen R. ↑,
- 02:48, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 03:52, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 13:19, 2 - 5, Hirvonen R. (G), Paaso A. (A),
- 14:42, 2 - 6, Paaso A. (G), Virta P. (A),
- 16:08, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:38, 2 - 7, Raty Aku (G), Tichacek J. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
50.1% | Draw
22.5% | Kärpät
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ilves have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ilves - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9
(1.9) |
4.13 ↓
(4.3) |
3.37 ↓
(3.43) |
6.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kärpät is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 50:47. (average 2.5:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 2.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Kärpät?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ilves?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Kärpät were as follows:
12.09.2025
Kärpät
-
Ilves
6:2
31.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ilves
3:2
08.01.2025
Ilves
-
Kärpät
3:4
07.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Ilves
2:4
11.10.2024
Ilves
-
Kärpät
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35:19 | 21 |
| 2 | JYP | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 40:28 | 21 |
| 3 | Kiekko-Espoo | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32:29 | 21 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 41:40 | 19 |
| 5 | Tappara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35:24 | 18 |
| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31:30 | 17 |
| 7 | Jukurit | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27:31 | 17 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 38:31 | 17 |
| 9 | Karpat | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 39:35 | 16 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:20 | 16 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26:28 | 16 |
| 12 | KalPa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26:32 | 10 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21:34 | 10 |
| 15 | Ilves | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27:39 | 9 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19:37 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Ilves - Kärpät?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
