Result
0:2
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 55% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (37/49) | 77% (33/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 69% (24/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (7/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 24% (12/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 100% (1/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 13 | 38 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 69% (9/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (49/69) | 72% (55/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (21/76) | 29% (20/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (70/145) | 52% (75/145) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 100% (11/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
76.7% | Reilly Opelka
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reilly Opelka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.33) |
|
4.01 ↑
(3.4) |
4.9%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Opelka is ranked ATP: 73.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, De Minaur is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Reilly Opelka?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reilly Opelka won against Alex De Minaur?
Reilly Opelka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka were as follows:
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Reilly Opelka
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Galan D. E. (Q) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Baez S. | Goffin D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (30) | |
| 5 | Machac T. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Thompson J. | Mannarino A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Martinez P. | Jarry N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (13) | |
| 9 | Ruud C. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Rinderknech A. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. | Shang J. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | |
| 13 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Smith C. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bonzi B. | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Musetti L. (8) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Coric B. | Nava E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bergs Z. | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Sonego L. (31) | |
| 21 | Davidovich Fokina A. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Fonseca J. | Bu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Atmane T. (Q) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Cobolli F. (15) | |
| 25 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Carballes Baena R. | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Wong C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (20) | |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Moutet C. | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Safiullin R. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (7) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Nishikori K. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Altmaier D. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Norrie C. (32) | |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Boyer T. (WC) | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Walton A. | Navone M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Medvedev D. (12) | |
| 41 | Khachanov K. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Ofner S. (PR) | Royer V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. (WC) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cazaux A. (LL) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Bye | |
| 46 | Giron M. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Vukic A. (LL) | Basavareddy N. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Dellien H. | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Comesana F. | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Darderi L. (29) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Landaluce M. (Q) | Kypson P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Tien L. | Riedi L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Rublev A. (9) | |
| 57 | Mensik J. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Kecmanovic M. | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Nardi L. (LL) | Tirante T. A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (24) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Medjedovic H. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bellucci M. | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Galan D. E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. | Diallo G. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Machac T. (19) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Martinez P. | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (11) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bonzi B. | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bergs Z. | Sonego L. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Atmane T. | Cobolli F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wong C. | Humbert U. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Michelsen A. (28) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Safiullin R. | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (5) | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Lehecka J. (22) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Walton A. | Medvedev D. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (14) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Cazaux A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (27) | Blockx A. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Basavareddy N. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Comesana F. | Darderi L. (RET.) (29) | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (21) | Landaluce M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Nardi L. | Shapovalov D. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (26) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Dzumhur D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Diallo G. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Paul T. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. (RET.) | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. (25) | Bonzi B. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (4) | Sonego L. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fonseca J. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (10) | Humbert U. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. (28) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (5) | Bautista-Agut R. | |
| 10 | Lehecka J. (22) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (14) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (27) | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Opelka R. | Comesana F. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (21) | Rublev A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Mensik J. (RET.) (16) | Nardi L. | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Medjedovic H. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Mannarino A. | |
| 2 | Auger-Aliassime F. (23) | Bonzi B. | |
| 3 | Fritz T. (4) | Atmane T. | |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10) | Rune H. (7) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | TBD #9 | Lehecka J. (22) | |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (14) | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Rublev A. (9) | |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
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