Newport County vs Millwall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	1.93
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
75% (232/310)	79% (399/503)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	1.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	1.40
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
7	7
Shots inside the Box
8	16
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
18	38
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
75% (232/310)	79% (399/503)
Long passes
34% (22/65)	53% (46/86)
Passes in final third
43% (29/67)	65% (121/186)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	39% (13/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	1.76
Throw-ins
32	20
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
53% (8/15)	87% (20/23)
Duels won
43	76
Clearances
50	26
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.40	0.96
Goals prevented
0.40	0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leonard R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Antwi C. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Leonard R. ⚽,
64', Coburn J. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
64', Sturge Z. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
64', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
65', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
74', Luongo M. 🟨,
75', Ogunneye H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
75', Whitmore K. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
87', Langstaff M. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
90+6', Emakhu A. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
12.3%

Draw
20.3%

Millwall
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.8%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

21.2%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1%)

Newport County - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.71 ↑ (6.97)	4.63 ↑ (4.29)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	6.1% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Newport County - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 64.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Newport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Millwall is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Millwall is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Millwall?

Newport County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Newport County?

Millwall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Millwall were as follows:

Latest results of Newport County

09.08.2025 Crawley Town - Newport County 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Newport County - Notts County 1:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Barnet - Newport County 2:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Torquay United - Newport County 3:1 ✺

15.07.2025 Weston-super-Mare - Newport County 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3 ✺

29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6 ✺

26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2 ✺

22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
3	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
4	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
5	Tranmere	Burton
6	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
7	Sunderland	Bye
8	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
9	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
10	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
11	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
12	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
13	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
14	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
15	Burnley	Bye
16	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
17	Everton	Bye
18	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
19	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
20	Bye	Leeds
21	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
22	Bye	Manchester Utd
23	Fulham	Bye
24	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
25	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
26	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
27	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
28	Bye	Brighton
29	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
30	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
31	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
32	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
33	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
34	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
35	Wolves	Bye
36	Bye	West Ham
37	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
38	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
39	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
40	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
41	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
42	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
43	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
44	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1
45	Bournemouth	Bye
46	Bye	Brentford

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale
2	Accrington	Doncaster
3	TBD #5	Lincoln
4	Sunderland	Huddersfield
5	Preston	Wrexham
6	Wigan	Stockport County
7	Stoke	Bradford City
8	Burnley	Derby
9	Everton	Mansfield
10	Sheffield Wed	Leeds
11	Grimsby	Manchester Utd
12	Fulham	Bristol City
13	Norwich	Southampton
14	Oxford Utd	Brighton
15	Reading	AFC Wimbledon
16	Cardiff	Cheltenham
17	Millwall	Coventry
18	Wolves	West Ham
19	Barnsley	Rotherham
20	Swansea	Plymouth
21	Bromley	Wycombe
22	Cambridge Utd	Charlton
23	Bournemouth	Brentford

Which TV channels are streaming of Newport County - Millwall?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+