Joao Fonseca vs Bu Yunchaokete: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Cincinnati Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete
Result
2:1
07/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals
Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
138
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
69%42%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (45/59)79% (31/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)46% (25/54)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)24% (14/59)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (29/54)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)40% (2/5)
Winners
4019
Unforced Errors
4430
Net Points Won
62% (8/13)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
69% (59/86)58% (54/93)
Return Points Won
42% (39/93)31% (27/86)
Total Points Won
55% (98/179)45% (81/179)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Joao Fonseca
68.3%
Bu Yunchaokete
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)

    3
    (3.34)
    5.3%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Yunchaokete will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 1 - 50%). Yunchaokete (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonseca is ranked ATP: 49. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 76.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Fonseca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fonseca is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Latest results of Bu Yunchaokete
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Monfils G.Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2TBD #3Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)TBD #6
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6TBD #11Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)TBD #14
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)TBD #30
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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