Mariano Navone vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Cincinnati Mariano Navone - Jan-Lennard Struff
Result
2:1
06/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Mariano Navone - Jan-Lennard Struff - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
58
Double Faults
39
1st Serve Percentage
58%48%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (42/53)75% (40/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (27/38)50% (29/58)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
25% (13/53)21% (11/53)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (29/58)29% (11/38)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)0% (0/3)
Winners
1519
Unforced Errors
3569
Net Points Won
100% (4/4)79% (11/14)
Service Points Won
76% (68/90)63% (69/110)
Return Points Won
37% (41/110)24% (22/90)
Total Points Won
55% (109/200)46% (91/200)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (15/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)0% (0/15)
Total Games Won
60% (18/30)40% (12/30)

Chances of winning


Mariano Navone
35.6%
Jan-Lennard Struff
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Mariano Navone - Jan-Lennard Struff Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.36)

    1.48
    (1.54)
    5.1%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mariano Navone - Jan-Lennard Struff?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Struff will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jan-Lennard Struff will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Navone is ranked ATP: 77. Struff is ranked ATP: 138.
    • Navone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Struff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Struff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Struff will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)0 : 2
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.2 : 0
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)2 : 1
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)1 : 2
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.2 : 1
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    47Vukic A. (LL)Basavareddy N. (WC)0 : 2
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.0 : 2
    51Comesana F.Munar J.2 : 0
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)2 : 1
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)2 : 0
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.0 : 2
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Nava E.
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)Ugo Carabelli C.
    18Bautista-Agut R.Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)Boyer T.
    20Walton A.Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)Royer V.
    22Brooksby J.Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)Blockx A.
    24Basavareddy N.Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)Opelka R.
    26Comesana F.Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)Landaluce M.
    28Tien L.Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)Quinn E.
    30Nardi L.Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)Medjedovic H.
    32Dzumhur D.Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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