Mariano Kestelboim vs Michael Vrbensky: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Cordenons Challenger Men Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky
Result
2:1
04/08/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Final
Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
38
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (37/60)64% (36/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)35% (15/43)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)70% (16/23)
1st Return Points Won
36% (20/56)38% (23/60)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (28/43)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
30% (7/23)56% (5/9)
Winners
2231
Unforced Errors
1944
Net Points Won
58% (7/12)74% (23/31)
Service Points Won
59% (48/82)52% (51/98)
Return Points Won
48% (47/98)41% (34/82)
Total Points Won
53% (95/180)47% (85/180)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)46% (6/13)
Return Games Won
54% (7/13)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
47.9%
Michael Vrbensky
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Kestelboim's performance.
  • Michael Vrbensky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Vrbensky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Vrbensky than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Mariano Kestelboim - Michael Vrbensky Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.24)

    1.79
    (1.59)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 395. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 497.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Vrbensky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vrbensky could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Michael Vrbensky
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Bondioli F. (NG)2 : 0
    2Alcala Gurri M. (Q)Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Bueno G.Nijboer R. (Q)2 : 1
    4Torres J. B.Clarke J. (7)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (4)Kestelboim M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Piraino G. (WC)Sels J.2 : 0
    7Kicker N. (Q)Prado Angelo J. C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Prihodko O. (Alt)Travaglia S. (8)2 : 1
    9Coppejans K. (6)Pereira T.1 : 2
    10Arnaboldi F.Stebe C. (PR)0 : 2
    11De Krom M. (LL)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    12Kolar Z. (Q)Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    14Sanchez Jover C.Vrbensky M. (LL)2 : 0
    15Caniato C. A. (WC)Paulson A. (PR)2 : 0
    16Dellien Velasco M. A.Lajovic D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Alcala Gurri M.2 : 0
    2Bueno G.Clarke J. (7)2 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (4)Piraino G.2 : 0
    4Kicker N.Prihodko O.2 : 1
    5Pereira T.Stebe C.1 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 1
    8Caniato C. A.Lajovic D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Bueno G.
    2Neumayer L. (4)Kicker N.
    3Stebe C.Piros Z. (3)
    4Rodriguez Taverna S. (5)Lajovic D. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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