Inter Miami vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Inter Miami - UNAM
Result
3:1
06/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 3
Inter Miami - UNAM - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.04
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (420/479)87% (338/388)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.230.76
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
88% (420/479)87% (338/388)
Long passes
74% (39/53)54% (14/26)
Passes in final third
78% (120/153)83% (89/107)
Crosses
33% (8/24)54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.09
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1016
Tackles
52% (11/21)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
1026
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.763.23
Goals prevented
-0.060.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Angulo A. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. , Vite P. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, de Paul R. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez R. , Quispe Cordova P. A. ,
  • 46', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 51', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 51', Nathan Silva 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 66', Bennevendo P. , Monroy P. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Allende T. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 72', Caicedo J. , Rico A. ,
  • 76', Segovia T. , Allen N. ,
  • 76', Allende T. , Picault F. ,
  • 83', Suarez L. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 88', Angulo A. , Azuaje A. ,
  • 88', Vite P. , Villasenor E. ,
  • 89', de Paul R. , Redondo Solari F. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
49.5%
Draw
23.9%
UNAM
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 24.6% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.7% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNAM's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNAM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Miami - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.6)
    3.87
    (3.8)
    3.51
    (5.5)
    7.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - UNAM?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). UNAM will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): UNAM will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Inter Miami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    25.07.2025 Querétaro - UNAM 0:2
    20.07.2025 UNAM - Pachuca 2:3
    12.07.2025 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:0
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    Main

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Toluca321006:48
    2Pachuca320106:47
    3Tigres UANL320017:46
    4Puebla320016:46
    5Juarez311107:46
    6Guadalajara Chivas311014:45
    7Mazatlan FC311013:35
    8UNAM Pumas311015:65
    9Atl. San Luis311014:65
    10Club America302106:65
    11Necaxa310116:84
    12Cruz Azul302013:104
    13Club Tijuana310025:83
    14Monterrey301023:62
    15Club Leon300121:41
    16Queretaro300031:60
    17Atlas300033:90
    18Santos Laguna300032:80


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders3300011:29
    2Inter Miami321007:48
    3Los Angeles Galaxy3201010:37
    4Orlando City320109:37
    5Portland Timbers320106:17
    6Columbus Crew320106:37
    7Real Salt Lake311105:46
    8Los Angeles FC311104:36
    9New York Red Bulls311103:26
    10Minnesota United310117:64
    11FC Cincinnati310116:64
    12Colorado Rapids310115:54
    13Charlotte310115:64
    14Atlanta Utd310027:73
    15San Diego FC310025:53
    16New York City310023:53
    17CF Montreal301023:52
    18Houston Dynamo300032:80

          Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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