Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlas - Necaxa live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (130/181) | 80% (208/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (130/181) | 80% (208/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 54% (39/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Garcia M. E. ⚽, Gustavo Ferrareis (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Jacob T. ⚽,
- 21', Pena A. ↓, De Buen D. ↑,
- 29', 2 - 1, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Gustavo Ferrareis (A),
- 43', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perez P. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 46', Rosero K. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 2, Cambindo D. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
- 64', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 66', De Buen D. 🟨,
- 68', Cambindo D. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 76', Hernandez S. 🟨,
- 78', Mora A. ↓, San Martin J. ↑,
- 78', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 90', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ramirez A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Gonzalez D. (Pen),
- 90+6', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Unsain E. 🟨,
- 90+8', Jimenez L. 🟥,
- 90+9', Vargas C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlas
30.9% | Draw
27% | Necaxa
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Necaxa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Necaxa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlas - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.36) |
3.72 ↑
(3.71) |
2.4 ↓
(2.64) |
-0.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlas - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano J.
(Injury)
Pier R.
(Injury)
Rocha A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Necaxa?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Atlas?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Necaxa were as follows:
18.02.2025
Atlas
-
Necaxa
0:4
10.11.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlas
0:0
14.01.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlas
2:1
10.11.2023
Atlas
-
Necaxa
0:0
21.04.2023
Necaxa
-
Atlas
1:3
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlas - Necaxa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
