Maricá vs Aparecidense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Maricá - Aparecidense
Result
1:2
02/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Maricá - Aparecidense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
71
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
106
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Renan Gorne ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 2, Joao Marcos (Pen),
  • 58', 1 - 2, Pablo Thomaz ,

Chances of winning


Maricá
27.5%
Draw
30.8%
Aparecidense
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 30.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 31.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maricá's form might have worsened.
  • Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aparecidense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maricá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aparecidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maricá - Aparecidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.36)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.9)
    7.1%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Recent performances by Maricá have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aparecidense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Maricá
    30.07.2025 Petrópolis - Maricá 0:3
    26.07.2025 Rio Branco AC ES - Maricá 3:0
    19.07.2025 Maricá - Portuguesa 0:1
    12.07.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Maricá 1:3
    05.07.2025 Maricá - Boavista 1:0
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    19.07.2025 Mixto - Aparecidense 0:0
    12.07.2025 Aparecidense - Goianésia 2:1
    05.07.2025 Aparecidense - Porto Velho 7:0
    29.06.2025 Goiânia - Aparecidense 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0
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