Benfica vs Nice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Benfica - Nice
Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Benfica - Nice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.09
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4518
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Long passes
56% (32/57)36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)72% (72/100)
Crosses
50% (6/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.60
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
913
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.091.19
Goals prevented
0.09-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. , Schjelderup A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Coulibaly D. , Diop S. ,
  • 63', Barrenechea E. , Florentino ,
  • 63', Ivanovic F. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 64', Schjelderup A. , Prestianni G. ,
  • 65', Clauss J. 🟨,
  • 73', Clauss J. , Koutoune H. ,
  • 73', Jansson I. , Boga J. ,
  • 73', Bouanani B. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 81', Pavlidis V. , Araujo H. ,
  • 82', Moffi T. , Nguene B. ,
  • 84', Aursnes F. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
73.1%
Draw
17%
Nice
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.1% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.5% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)
    6.49
    (4.16)
    11.36
    (5.42)
    -6.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 78.1%). Nice will win (votes: 8 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.6%87.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Nice (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nice were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2
    16.07.2025 Nice - Aubagne 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Benfica - Nice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
    portugalPortugalTVI
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV
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