Accrington Stanley vs Oldham Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic
Result
3:1
05/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - Preliminary - Final
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.34
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
70% (204/293)78% (295/380)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.61
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
70% (204/293)78% (295/380)
Long passes
29% (21/73)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
53% (44/83)66% (107/162)
Crosses
25% (2/8)18% (6/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.57
Throw-ins
1432
Fouls
1317
Tackles
55% (11/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
7363
Clearances
6539
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.612.44
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Popoola A. , Mooney K. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Mooney K. , Rawson F. (A),
  • 34', 3 - 0, Woods J. ,
  • 37', Donaghy T. , Hudson M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Brown C. 🟨,
  • 61', Hawkes J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Ogle R. , Morris K. (A),
  • 63', Popoola A. , Caton C. ,
  • 66', Mooney K. , Walton T. ,
  • 71', Morris K. 🟨,
  • 79', Morris K. , Stevens J. ,
  • 79', Woods R. , Conlon T. ,
  • 84', Conneely S. , Love D. ,
  • 84', Brown C. , Coyle L. ,
  • 84', Henderson A. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 90', Love D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
37.7%
Draw
30.6%
Oldham Athletic
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 28.5% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.63)
    3.61
    (3.26)
    3.74
    (2.56)
    -9.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Oldham will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 12%65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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