Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs George Loffhagen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Segovia Challenger Men Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen
Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Final
Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
219
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
72%57%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (57/78)83% (53/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (19/30)53% (26/49)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
17% (11/64)27% (21/78)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (23/49)37% (11/30)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)29% (2/7)
Winners
2647
Unforced Errors
2756
Net Points Won
82% (14/17)81% (17/21)
Service Points Won
70% (76/108)70% (79/113)
Return Points Won
30% (34/113)30% (32/108)
Total Points Won
50% (110/221)50% (111/221)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Alvarez Varona
35.6%
George Loffhagen
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.
  • George Loffhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting George Loffhagen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for George Loffhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.23)

    1.46
    (1.62)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Alvarez Varona - George Loffhagen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Loffhagen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: George Loffhagen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 298. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 292.
    • Alvarez Varona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Loffhagen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Loffhagen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Loffhagen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Loffhagen will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Latest results of George Loffhagen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ajdukovic D. (1)Shah A. (NG)1 : 2
    2Purtseladze S.Sultanov K.2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Cui J.2 : 0
    4Soto M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Dougaz A. (3)Catry R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Sun F.Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    7Alves M.Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)0 : 2
    8Reymond A. (Q)Monday J. (5)0 : 2
    9Escoffier A. (8)Echeverria J. (Q)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A. (Q)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    11Coulibaly E.Brancaccio R. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Soriano Barrera A. (Q)Bouquier A. (4)2 : 1
    13Chidekh C. (7)Martineau M.1 : 2
    14Jodar R. (WC)Wiskandt M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Peniston R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2
    16Gonzalez Fernandez M. (WC)Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shah A.Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    2Bertrand R.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    3Dougaz A. (3)Alvarez Varona N. (WO.)
    4Montes-De La Torre I.Monday J. (5)1 : 2
    5Escoffier A. (8)Butvilas E.1 : 2
    6Brancaccio R.Soriano Barrera A.1 : 2
    7Martineau M.Jodar R.1 : 2
    8Loffhagen G.Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shah A.Crawford O. (6)2 : 0
    2Alvarez Varona N.Monday J. (5)2 : 0
    3Butvilas E.Soriano Barrera A.2 : 0
    4Jodar R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Shah A.Alvarez Varona N.1 : 2
    2Butvilas E.Loffhagen G.1 : 2

    Final
    1Alvarez Varona N.Loffhagen G.1 : 2
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