Legia Warsaw vs Arka Gdynia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia
Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.56
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
134
Passes
82% (386/471)75% (211/283)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.00
Total shots
216
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
134
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
82% (386/471)75% (211/283)
Long passes
71% (34/48)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
76% (136/179)60% (40/67)
Crosses
30% (11/37)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.91
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1913
Tackles
80% (8/10)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2152
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.99
Goals prevented
0.000.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Kun P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 58', Shkurin I. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 58', Kun P. , Reca A. ,
  • 58', Morishita R. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 60', Kocyla D. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 60', Oliveira J. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 65', Reca A. 🟨,
  • 69', Alfarela M. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 69', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 69', Kerk S. , Nguiamba A. ,
  • 78', Chodyna K. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 79', Percan , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 83', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
  • 86', Perea L. 🟨,
  • 87', Navarro M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
62.7%
Draw
21.1%
Arka Gdynia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 22.4% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 21.3% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.54)
    4.42
    (4.13)
    5.79
    (5.32)
    6.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 28 - 93.3%). Arka will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 84.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
    • Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Arka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Arka has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
    • There are questionable in Legia: Reca A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Arka: Jakubczyk K. (Injury)
    • We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Legia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    20.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Postponed
    17.07.2025 Aktobe - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Radomiak Radom32109:367
    3Cracovia32108:357
    4Widzew Lodz32016:336
    5Gornik Zabrze32014:316
    6Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    7Termalica B-B31115:324
    8Legia21102:024
    9Pogon Szczecin31116:7-14
    10Rakow31023:5-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14Arka Gdynia30211:2-12
    15GKS Katowice30122:6-41
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk30126:8-2-4

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
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