Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Washington Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima
Result
2:0
25/07/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Quarter-finals
Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
59%50%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (26/39)68% (19/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (16/27)32% (9/28)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
32% (9/28)33% (13/39)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (19/28)41% (11/27)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Winners
2118
Unforced Errors
1727
Net Points Won
81% (13/16)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
64% (42/66)50% (28/56)
Return Points Won
50% (28/56)36% (24/66)
Total Points Won
57% (70/122)43% (52/122)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Alex De Minaur
64.5%
Brandon Nakashima
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.45)

    2.66
    (2.78)
    5.2%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • De Minaur is ranked ATP: 13. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • De Minaur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Minaur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)
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