Mackenzie McDonald vs Colton Smith: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Washington Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith
Result
2:0
21/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/32-finals
Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
57%64%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (22/28)63% (20/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (12/21)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
38% (12/32)32% (9/28)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (12/18)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)33% (1/3)
Winners
119
Unforced Errors
1926
Net Points Won
86% (6/7)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
69% (34/49)54% (26/48)
Return Points Won
46% (22/48)31% (15/49)
Total Points Won
58% (56/97)42% (41/97)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
66.1%
Colton Smith
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.36)

    2.86
    (3.18)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 86. Smith is ranked ATP: 135.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)
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