AZ Alkmaar vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League AZ Alkmaar - Ilves
Result
5:0
31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
AZ Alkmaar - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
6.480.40
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
287
Shots on target
162
Big Chances
122
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
86% (490/569)83% (367/442)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
6.480.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.260.49
Total shots
287
Shots on target
162
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
235
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
122
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
6220
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
915
Passes
86% (490/569)83% (367/442)
Long passes
47% (23/49)34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
78% (169/216)75% (80/106)
Crosses
20% (3/15)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.800.52
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
159
Tackles
63% (15/24)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5437
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
517
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
211
xGOT faced
0.495.26
Goals prevented
0.490.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 11', Parrott T. 🟨,
  • 17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
  • 17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. , Poku E. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 36', 3 - 0, Poku E. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. , Mijnans S. (A),
  • 45', Daal R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Raymond A. , Ulundu V. ,
  • 58', Clasie J. , Koopmeiners P. ,
  • 58', Daal R. , Jensen I. ,
  • 58', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 61', Rale M. 🟨,
  • 67', Kasius D. , Dijkstra E. ,
  • 69', Veteli J. , Tiitinen O. ,
  • 69', Kanga J. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. , Meerdink M. (A),
  • 75', Smit K. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 79', Maenpaa A. , Kumpu V. ,
  • 80', Vaisanen S. , Miettunen T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
84.9%
Draw
9.6%
Ilves
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.4% 14.5% 8.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.16)
    9.64
    (6.2)
    17.09
    (11)
    6.6%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
  • What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.
    • AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Ilves were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    12.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:2
    09.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Aris 3:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    20.07.2025 FF Jaro - Ilves 0:1
    17.07.2025 Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    4VikingurLinfield
    6MilsamiVirtus
    8DifferdangeLevadia
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol
    18ArisAEK Athens FC
    19VikingBasaksehir
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23LuganoCelje
    24OstravaAustria Vienna
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda
    27PartizanHibernian
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor
    34SK RapidDundee Utd
    35KlaksvikNeman
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana
    38St. PatricksBesiktas
    39LarneSanta Clara
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers
    41RosenborgHammarby
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem
    48ArazOmonia

    Final
    2ByeTBD #4
    3ByeTBD #6
    4ByeTBD #8
    5TBD #9Bye
    6StrasbourgTBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27Bye
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fiorentina
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35Rayo Vallecano
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41Mainz
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    24ByeTBD #48
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