Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Washington Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier
Result
2:1
21/07/2025 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/32-finals
Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
56%63%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (35/53)65% (46/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (28/42)52% (22/42)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)73% (11/15)
1st Return Points Won
37% (26/71)34% (18/53)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (20/42)33% (14/42)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)27% (3/11)
Winners
2832
Unforced Errors
3849
Net Points Won
57% (12/21)78% (31/40)
Service Points Won
66% (63/95)59% (67/113)
Return Points Won
41% (46/113)34% (32/95)
Total Points Won
52% (109/208)48% (99/208)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
42
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Matteo Arnaldi
58.5%
Daniel Altmaier
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Altmaier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.5)

    2.32
    (2.63)
    4.8%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Altmaier will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 44. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 61.
    • Arnaldi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Altmaier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Altmaier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Arnaldi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Latest results of Daniel Altmaier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)
    X
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