Result
10/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 35.3% | Draw 25% | Atlético La Paz 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.62 ↑ (2.61) |
3.7 ↓ (3.72) |
2.33 ↓ (2.41) |
8.1% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
- Recent performances by Alebrijes de Oaxaca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético La Paz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Atlético La Paz?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Atlético La Paz has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
04.04.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
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Atlético La Paz
2:2
18.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
20.04.2024
Atlético La Paz
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:2
22.03.2024
Atlético La Paz
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
19.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
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Atlético La Paz
2:2
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: