Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Umag Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili
21/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals
Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
46.6%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.75)

    1.79
    (1.92)
    5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 79. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 112.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Dzumhur D. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Kopriva V. (8)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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